Warm Front Moving Northward Severe Weather Risk Later Today
We are still waiting for a warm front to move though the area this morning and there might be a few showers with that as the warm front goes by. We are seeing the snaking nature of the front as it is lodged southward this morning into Delaware. There is one final push coming this morning that should take the front through. In the meantime we are socked in with lots of clouds and temperatures in the mid 40s to near 50 which is where they have been all night.
On the radar this morning we are seeing an area of heavy downpours moving across Western Pennsylvania. These showers are going to move through between 9am and 11am as the warm front passes. Some scattered showers are on the local radars at the moment.
LOCAL RADAR NEW YORK CITY
LOCAL RADAR PHILADELPHIA
Later today we will see the risk of severe weather pop up as indicated by the Storm Prediction Center. The overnight forecast was made yesterday and it will likely be updated after 8am. We will update this once the Storm Prediction Center makes its move.
Ultimately this will all hinge on how far north the warm front makes it today. If it is successful in moving north of NYC we will see highs reaching 70 or better from NYC south and west and in the 60s north and east.
If we break out into enough sunshine we could see highs reach the upper 70s and lower 80 in Southern Pennsylvania to Southern New Jersey southward. This is the first day of spring and the thermometers will be responding nicely!
Once the front passes weather colder air will be coming in for the weekend. Skies will clear tonight along with a gusty wind and temperatures by morning will be in the upper 30s and lower 40s. Saturday look for sunshine and a gusty wind. Highs will be in the upper 40s and lower 50s. It will turn even colder Saturday night with lows in the 20s to near 30 under a clear sky.
Sunday will be a cold day with sunshine giving way to arriving clouds. Highs will be in the low to mid 40s. Then the next storm system follows for Monday. Low pressure will be coming up along the coast into a cold high that will be moving out to the east. The high moves out fast and I just don’t think that cold air holds on long enough to create issues.
For the coast this is all rain. We could see areas in Northwest New Jersey to the Hudson Valley and Connecticut north of Route 84 start as snow before it goes to rain. The NAM model shows the high just flying out to the east taking whatever cold air that is around out with it. Temperatures will be in the cold 30s and low 40s on Monday. Weather conditions improve Tuesday but another coastal low will bring a cold rain on Wednesday.
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