Two Nice Days Before Showers Thunderstorms Severe Weather Risk Thursday
October is the driest month and since we have gotten more than a months worth of rain already, it stands to reason that the month now reverts back to what it is known for and that is nice weather days. We have today and we have Wednesday. Both days will be partly to mostly sunny. We have high pressure sitting along the Mid Atlantic coast. It isn’t moving very fast which is a good thing.
This puts us on a course of highs reaching the upper 60s and lower 70s this afternoon and again Wednesday afternoon. The next cold front is setting up to arrive on Thursday so until then, enjoy! Tonight should start clear but there might be some patchy low clouds and fog that develops and that is typical for this time of year. most lows will be in the 40s inland and low to mid 50s warmer urban locations and the coast.
On to Thursday. A series of cold fronts will be moving through the Eastern US with the first one Thursday and two more that will follow. One over the weekend and another on Monday. Each one will take us down in temperatures in stair step fashion. The front will set off showers and thunderstorms that will develop from west to east Thursday morning and last into Thursday night.
The Storm Prediction Center is indicating a marginal risk for severe weather Thursday from Western New Jersey and Eastern Pennsylvania southward to Northeast Virginia. We might see this area get expanded a bit by the time we reach Thursday. Rainfall amounts Thursday should be on the order of 3/4 inch to 1.25 inches. This will continue to help allieviate the dry conditions that still linger over parts of the Southern New England and the Northern Mid Atlantic.
Once the front passes weather conditions will improve Friday and into Saturday. Another front will arrive later Sunday with the chance for showers and still another later Monday. That last front brings down the coolest air of the Autumn season so far and might even set up some lake effect snow showers in Upstate NY next week! We will be looking at the long range later today.
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