Nice Autumn Wednesday Severe Weather Risk Thursday Weekend Outlook
We are enjoying one more nice day of sunshine before the next round of changes get underway. The satellite loop is showing high clouds to the west moving mostly to the northeast and they aren’t shifting to the east with any kind of speed. We should continue to see sunshine this afternoon though some high clouds will start to come in from the west later in the day. High temperatures this afternoon are a little above average in the upper 60s and lower 70s. Local radars are quiet and should remain so today and most of tonight. Clouds will increase overnight with most lows in the 50s.
Thursday we have a cold front approaching. I think the morning into the early afternoon for most areas should be okay though some showers will be developing in Pennsylvanian and they will be pushing eastward. However the rain and thunderstorms seems to hold off until the evening hours.
During the day we will have clouds and probably some sun in the mix too though clouds will probably tend to dominate especially late in the day. It could get a little breezy with a south to southwest winds. Most highs will be in the upper 60s to lower 70s.
The front has some strong support from a strengthening upper trough. Dew points will be on the rise so it will be humid and the dew points will be approaching 70 making it rather juicy for thunderstorms and possibly some isolated severe thunderstorms when the front passes Thursday night. The Storm Prediction Center has a marginal risk of severe weather indicated for inland areas and general thunderstorms elsewhere.
We will see a slow stair step decline in temperatures starting Friday and over the weekend. Two more cold fronts need to pass. The first on will probably come on Sunday so Friday looks fine with sunshine and a few clouds with highs mostly in the 60s. Saturday should be dry with some sunshine as well with highs in the 60s.
The cold front on Sunday could be a few showers but there is a question of timing. We will throw in the chance for some scattered showers Sunday with changeable sky conditions but much of the day should be on the dry side. Highs will be in the 60s. The second front Monday will bring in a shot of rather chilly air behind it. There might be a shower with that but temperatures will be trending lower. Monday’s highs will be in the upper 50s and lower 60s. Then that chilly air comes in for Tuesday and it will probably be chilly all week as the flow from Canada strengthens.
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS & F5 WEATHER FOR THE USE OF MAPS
Please note that with regards to any severe weather, tropical storms, or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.