tropical system

Tropical System Getting Better Organized

Tropical System Getting Better Organized

Tropical System Getting Better Organized

Satellite pictures this afternoon show that the broad low pressure area east of the Bahamas is getting better organized and showers are increasing. The visible satellite loop below shows the concentration of showers and thunderstorms and you can pic out a small swirl that seems to be migrating under the developing thunderstorms.

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Conditions are becoming more favorable and the probability of a tropical storm or a subtropical storm developing are increased to 80 percent by the National Hurricane Center.

tropical system

The latest European model continues the idea of this system moving northwest and then northward and ultimately being absorbed by a developing non tropical storm that moves up into Maine. The question of whether this system might enhance the rain forecast here for Thursday and Friday remains to be seen. The GFS really doesn’t do much with this at all while the Canadian is far more bullish with tropical rains getting enhanced along the coast and the frontal boundary.

tropical system

Either way we will see a shot of rather chilly air moving into the Northeast and Middle Atlantic States this weekend behind the developing non tropical cyclone that moves into Eastern Canada.

MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE WONDERFUL USE OF THE MAPS

WINTER 2016-2017 PART 1 OCEAN WATER TEMPERATURES

WINTER 2016-2017 PART 2 ARCTIC SEA ICE AND SIBERIAN SNOW COVER

WINTER 2016-2017 PART 3 NEW JERSEY PREVIEW

WINTER 2016-2017 PART 4 EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA PREVIEW

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Long Island

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For New Jersey

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Hudson Valley

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SNOW FORECASTS

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