Tropical Storm Warning Cancelled New Jersey
Tropical Storm Warning Cancelled for New Jersey,
NYC, Southern Westchester, & Western Long Island
& Connecticut West of New Haven
Tropical Storm Warning Remains In Effect Connecticut
From New Haven Eastward & Eastern Long Island
The National Hurricane Center has cancelled all warnings for New Jersey but they remain in effect for Central & Eastern coastal Connecticut and Central & Eastern Long Island including the surrounding coastal waters. Hermine has been intensifying some tonight and a band of heavy squalls is developing in the ocean that is forecast to swing westward overnight into Monday. This could bring some brief heavy rains along with some wind gusts to gale force at times into Monday afternoon for some areas in the warning zone. Areas west of there are done.
Coastal Flooding is probable at high tide on Monday and tides could run 2 to 4 feet above normal. Coastal flooding should be minor to moderate in nature in most areas.
...HERMINE EXPECTED TO MEANDER OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...37.2N 68.5W ABOUT 325 MI...525 KM SE OF THE EASTERN TIP OF LONG ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued west and south of Fire Island Inlet, west of Port Jefferson, and west of New Haven. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * The coast of Long Island from Fire Island Inlet to Port Jefferson Harbor * New Haven to Sagamore Beach * Block Island * Martha's Vineyard * Nantucket For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Hermine was located near latitude 37.2 North, longitude 68.5 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north-northeast near 3 mph (6 km/h). A turn toward the north with a decrease in forward speed is expected tonight, followed by a slow north-northwestward motion on Monday. A northeastward motion is expected to begin on Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Hermine will meander slowly offshore of the mid-Atlantic coast for the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Hermine should remain near hurricane strength through Monday. Gradual weakening is forecast to begin by Monday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km) from the center. The latest minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 997 mb (29.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin over portions of the warning area on Monday. STORM SURGE: The combination of a storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. Along the immediate coastline, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves. The water could reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Coast of Long Island from Fire Island Inlet to Port Jefferson Harbor...1 to 2 feet RAINFALL: Heavy rainfall associated with Hermine will remain mainly offshore through Wednesday. Rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches are possible across far southeastern Massachusetts, including Cape Cod and the offshore islands. SURF: Large waves generated by Hermine will affect the U.S. east coast from the mid-Atlantic states and expand northward along the coast of southern New England through Monday night. These waves are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions, and significant beach erosion. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY
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