Tropical Storm Patricia Will Be A Hurricane By Morning, Warnings Posted For West Coast of Mexico

Latest satellite pictures and air forecast recon reports show Tropical Storm Patricia will strengthen to a hurricane shortly. Winds are now 65 mph as the tropical storm has strengthened rapidly during the day. Hurricane warnings are up for parts of the Mexican Coast but the storm is already south of  Acalpulco.

sat

LOCATION...13.3N 99.9W
ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 495 MI...795 KM SE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cabo Corrientes to Punta San Telmo

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* East of Punta San Telmo to Lazaro Cardenas

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* East of Punta San Telmo to Lazaro Cardenas

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* East of Lazaro Cardenas to Tecpan De Galeana

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.  A warning is typically issued
36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of
tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside
preparations difficult or dangerous.  Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.

gfs96

Patricia is moving westward but a gradual turn to the north is forecast over the next few days taking the hurricane inland over the Mexican Coast inside the Warning area. What is of interest longer term is that the moisture from Patricia will be drawn northeastward into Eastern Texas and the Western Gulf of Mexico and it will be interesting to see whether the developing deep trough early next week might eventually draw some of the tropical moisture northward.

nhcprog

 

With regards to the longer term pattern please read my posts on today’s European model and also the gfs model as the weather pattern will become more active in the coming weeks. With regards to the short term, check my latest forecast outlook for the rest of the week and the weekend. Of course you can have my weather forecast right on your phone with my weather app so download for free today and subscribe to my forecasts for just 99 cents a month.

 

 

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