tropical storm

Tropical Storm Karl Tropical Storm Lisa

Tropical Storm Karl Tropical Storm Lisa

TROPICALS STORM KARL & NEW TROPICAL STORM LISA OUT IN THE ATLANTIC

KARL COULD THREATEN BERMUDA

We have Tropical Storm Karl & now Tropical Storm Lisa out in the open waters of the Atlantic but neither is a threat to the United States. Tropical Storm Karl is a threat to Bermuda over the weekend as it is forecast to reach 70 degrees West or so and then turn sharply east northeastward. This could bring Karl close to Bermuda on Sunday.

tropical storm

Lisa may not strengthen much beyond a minimal tropical storm and its life span appears limited. The circulation of Karl and low pressure to the northeast will wind up absorbing Lisa over time. As for Karl it looks like it will not strengthen to a hurricane until after it passes Bermuda. Even the European model which has been the most aggressive of all the models over the past few days backs off today as it takes it near Bermuda as well. These storms are no threat to the east coast at all as a strong cold front moves offshore Friday night and strong westerly winds aloft push these systems away from the coast. Here are the latest advisories on both storms.

You can see both tropical storms on the satellite picture. Both are having issues with wind shear. Karl in particular has been struggling for quite awhile now. You can see the upper low to the west of Karl having impact on the storm and shearing the western side of the circulation.

tropical storm

TROPICAL STORM KARL LATEST ADVISORY

...KARL MOVING WESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.0N 54.3W
ABOUT 530 MI...855 KM ENE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
ABOUT 1070 MI...1720 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Karl was
located near latitude 20.0 North, longitude 54.3 West.  Karl is
moving toward the west near 17 mph (28 km/h).  A west-northwestward
to northwestward motion at a slightly slower forward speed is
expected later today through Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
to the north of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).

TROPICAL STORM LISA LATEST ADVISORY

...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM LISA OVER THE EASTERN
TROPICAL ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.3N 30.4W
ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Lisa was
located near latitude 15.3 North, longitude 30.4 West. Lisa is
moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this general
motion is expected to continue through Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with
higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is forecast during the
next 48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


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