tropical storm julia

Tropical Storm Julia Forms Off Florida NE Coast

Tropical Storm Julia Forms of Florida NE Coast

Tropical Storm Julia Forms of Florida NE Coast

Latest satellite loops radars and surface observations indicate that Tropical Storm Julia has formed from an area of disturbed weather over the Florida east coast. Development has continued all evening and a defined circulation with tropical storm force winds have been observed. It does happen from time to time that tropical storms develop very close to the Florida coast under the right circumstances. The terrain is flat and tropical. If part of the circulation is over water it can energize as evident in this case.

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Jacksonville radar shows how well defined the circulation is as it moves northward just along the coast. Tropical Storm Warnings are posted for the northeast Florida coast northward into Coastal Georgia

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...TROPICAL STORM JULIA FORMS ALONG THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA...
...SLOW-MOVING STORM EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.3N 81.6W
ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM W OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA
ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM S OF BRUNSWICK GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued from Ponte Vedra Beach,
Florida, northward to Altamaha Sound, Georgia.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Ponte Vedra Beach to Altamaha Sound

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area. In this case, tropical
storm conditions are already occurring within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Julia was
located near latitude 30.3 North, longitude 81.6 West. Julia is
moving toward the north-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this
motion is expected to continue tonight with a reduction in forward
speed tomorrow.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Little change
in strength is expected tonight.  Julia is forecast to weaken to a
tropical depression by late Wednesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km),
mainly to the northeast and southeast of the center. Recent
observations indicate that sustained tropical-storm-force winds are
occurring along the northeast coast of Florida from Ponte Vedra
northward to the mouth of the St. Johns River.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical-storm-force winds are already occuring within the
tropical storm warning area.

RAINFALL: Julia is expected to produce 3 to 6 inches of rain near
the northeast Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina coastlines
through Friday afternoon. Isolated totals of 10 inches are possible.
This rainfall could lead to flash flooding. Flooding may be further
compounded with persistent strong onshore flow reducing river and
stream discharges.

TORNADOES: An isolated tornado or two will be possible tonight
through Wednesday morning across parts of northeastern Florida and
southeastern Georgia.

This system would not have any impact on our weather here in the Northeast or Middle Atlantic states. Here is the latest from the National Hurricane Center.

FROM THE TROPICS TO THE WINTER WE HAVE PART 2 ON WINTER 2016-2017 DEALING WITH ARCTIC SEA ICE AND SIBERIAN SNOW COVER GROWTH AND ITS IMPACT ON WINTERS IN THE EASTERN US.

ALSO FROM SUNDAY THE FIRST IN A SERIES ON WINTER 2016-2017 SHOWING THE IMPACT OF OCEAN WATER TEMPERATURES IN THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC OCEANS.

 

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