tropical storm

TROPICAL STORM FORMATION POSSIBLE NEXT 5 DAYS

TROPICAL STORM FORMATION CONTINUES POSSIBLE NEXT 5 DAYS

tropical storm

TROPICAL STORM FORMATION POSSIBLE NEXT 5 DAYS

The National Hurricane Center continues to monitor two areas of disturbed weather. The one that is the most important to the United States is the system in the Northwest Caribbean. Disturbed weather there continues to increase and low pressure is going to form there over the next 24 hours. Systems that form here are often times slow to develop and this one is no different. Right now as you can see on the satellite loop below of the Guilf of Mexico there are no weather issues in this area at the moment.

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You can begin to see the concentration of convection in the Northwest Caribbean. The curvature of the clouds suggests that conditions aloft are favorable for gradual development. Weather model tracks range from the European which continues to take this system straight west across the Yucatan and into the SW Gulf of Mexico. The GFS and Canadian envision a more northerly course with this into the Central Guif of Mexico.

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The system in the tropical atlantic to continues to move westward along 5 degrees North latitude. It is so far south that on this track it would actually go into South America. It is rare enough to see a system this far south in August or September but it is almost unheard of in June. The system shows signs of organization and will continue to be monitored. If this forms into a tropical storm it could be among the earliest 9in the Eastern Atlantic) and furthest south ever observed since the satellite era.

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