Thanksgiving Week Weather Storm Free Long Range
Thanksgiving Week Weather Storm Free Long Range
We have been warning all the snow lovers that just because you have a blocking pattern doesn’t mean it will be a stormy one. It could wind up being just colder than average and dry and that appears to be the case after examining the weather models overnight. Yes we have a blocking high and a rather strong one but a block is only one of many puzzle pieces and unless you have all the other factors lining up like an active Pacific jet or perhaps an active Canadian jet and a trough to our west (but not too far west) the outcome is cold and dry kiss it goodbye!
Here is a look at the upper air jet stream pattern for Thanksgiving day. Yes you have a block in place but that’s all you have. Everything else is all wrong for a storm threat of any kind, even a minor one. The troughs in the east are weak, un-phased and too far east. The ridge in the west is flat to almost non-existent because you have troughing in the northwest and over Alaska.
Late Thanksgiving weekend the jet stream realigns itself but it is still all wrong for storm threats for us. The block is still there but the deep trough in the East is too far east. The ridge in the west is not west enough. The upper air flow in this would bring down a shot of rather cold air (for this time of year) but no issues regarding rain or snow. As for temperatures for the next 10 days they will be on the whole below average with just the odd milder day here and there.
THANKSGIVING WEEK TEMPERATURES BELOW AVERAGE
POST THANKSGIVING TEMPERATURES BELOW AVERAGE
Now at some point something will happen somewhere. Much of the nation this week will be storm free except perhaps the Pacific Northwest and there will be some rain issues in Florida and along the Southeast US Coast but nothing that will create major problems.
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE WONDERFUL USE OF THE MAPS
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