Subtropical Storm Melissa Moves East, Next Week Brings Midweek Cold Front
Subtropical storm Melissa remains the obvious standout on the satellite picture this morning but Melissa has begun to move the advertised northeast motion by weather models for the last several days. This is good news as winds along the coast have shifted to the north. Already we have seen the morning high tide cycle produce pockets of minor coastal flooding so the worst of that is over with. We do have a full moon on Sunday so tides will be running high into next week. However we will not have a coastal storm pounding the surf and trapping water near the coast.
While Melissa now is well over 300 miles to the east of us and no rain is anywhere close (nor will it be) we are seeing showers on the regional radar across Western Pennsylvania and Southwestern NY moving northeast. This is with an approaching cold front that extends from the blizzard in the Northern Plains. That front will be weakening today as it moves eastward so these showers should fall apart long before they reach out area. Local radars are quiet.
LOCAL RADAR NEW YORK CITY
The big issue today will be clouds to the east leftover from Melissa and clouds to the west with the weak cold front. Some areas will squeeze some sunshine in between other areas not so much. Highs will reach the mid 60s to around 70 in a few places. That front passes tonight with little fanfare and stalls out to our south overnight. Most lows overnight will be in the 50s with just some clouds around and no showers. Sunday look for clouds with some breaks of sun with highs in the 60s. A weak wave will bring rain Sunday night that should pass to the south and east. It might touch Southern New Jersey and Eastern Long Island with some brief rain overnight into early Monday morning but it misses everyone else.
High pressure builds in for Monday Columbus day which should be a nice mainly sunny day with highs in the upper 60s to some lower 70s. Tuesday looks good too with sunshine though it will be cooler with highs in the 60s. Then the next cold front approaches and we have also a wave developing on a stalled frontal boundary across the south that will get involved. Between the front to the west and the wave on that front we should see some widespread rain here on Wednesday with highs in the 60s. The southern wave has a chance to develop some as it moves northward. This will usher in some rather cold air for Thursday and Friday. I’m anticipating Thursday to be a windy day with clouds and sun and temperatures in many areas won’t be out of the 50s. The same holds for Friday with sunshine and highs not out of the 50s. Nighttime lows will be in the 30s to lower 40s. We will take a closer look at this set up for midweek later today.
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS
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