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Radar and Satellite loops this afternoon are beginning to show precipitation developing to the south and spreading slowly northward. We are at the point now where we will just watch the satellite, radar, and surface observations and see how this all plays out. Frankly I would have liked to see a more impressive looking radar and satellite presentation but it is tough when the precipitation is literally developing overhead. We will watch things carefully over the next few hours. This should determine how this all plays out tonight.
Snow Spreading Northward SATELLITE LOOP
Snow Spreading Northward REGIONAL RADAR LOOP
Snow Spreading Northward LOCAL RADAR LOOPS
Some of the shorter range models have become a little less bullish on the amount of precipitation forecast overnight. They actually cut amounts in half a few hours ago but then in the last hour they seem to have come back a bit. Here is the latest super short range HRRR model snowfall forecast. It shows highest amounts over Long Island but it has lowered amounts along the New Jersey shore. Bear in mind that this model runs every hour so it will change as we move into the evening hours.
Snow Spreading Northward HRRR MODEL SNOWFALL FORECAST
Once the snow is done it will melt rapidly Monday morning on the roads and they should be clear and wet by 8am or so and much of the snow will be gone by the end of the day. Temperatures tonight while it is snowing will be near or below freezing and rise into the 40s quickly on Monday with increasing amounts of sunshine. After a cold Monday night, Tuesday we will see sunshine and highs into the 50s. Longer range Wednesday and Thursday we are headed for the 60s and 70 is not out of the question on Thursday with some sunshine on both days.
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