snow

Snow Moving Northward Raising Estimates

Snow Moving Northward

Snow Moving Northward

 

Satellite and radars continue to impress as steady snow has moved northward and now is over Long Island and over much of Central and Southern New Jersey. Moderate to heavy snow is being reported across much of Central and Southern New Jersey and we are seeing moderate snows now around New York City. The western edge gradient remains very tight so we will have to continue to watch this closely for areas north and west of the coast. This could make a big difference in snow accumulations for somebody.

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With loaded radars I think what is more important is total precipitation. The GFS model and in fact all weather models have increased liquid precipitation. Therefore I think it might be a good idea to raise estimates for total snowfall for most areas. Also the model is slower in getting it out of the way, and we will have high snow ratios reaching 15-1 in some places.

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As a result Im nudging amounts up a shade in all areas by an inch or 2. NYC will be on the back edge of 6 inches I believe and Long Island amounts will be higher as well as amounts in Connecticut.

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