Snow Ice Rain Coming Monday

Snow Ice Rain Coming Monday

billboard-text-spotlights-advertise-your-business-our-website-spot-lights-illustration-white-background-32610496

There are two things that are changing regarding the Monday-Wednesday event. Firstly is that the models late this afternoon are going a different way. A few days ago the European model showed that  a second lobe of energy would be a player on Wednesday and has since backed off from that idea. This afternoon’s GFS has actually gone back to that idea showing a weak lead system and a stronger second one for Wednesday. We are going to have to wait for tonight’s models runs to see if this is a true trend. The NAM has been onto this idea for a number of runs and actually has snow arriving here on Monday.

 

Snow Ice Rain Coming Monday GFS and NAM model Monday night

gfs84 Snow Ice Rain coming Monday nam84 Snow Ice Rain coming Monday

At this point the precipitation has changed to rain and the NAM shows a serious ice storm inland for late Monday and Monday night. The weaker look for the lead system is because the upper air pattern for this is shown to be disorganized and not phased.

Snow Ice Rain Coming Monday GFS NAM and European Comparison

gfs84 Snow Ice Rain coming Mondaynam84 Snow Ice Rain coming Monday euro96 Snow Ice Rain coming Monday

You can see the difference that the European shows verses the other models with a much stronger system in that southern branch of the jet stream tha winds up lifting northward from here. This would result in a deep storm up the Appalachians with a soaking rain, strong winds and coastal flooding possibilities.

If there is a system number 2 then system number on needs to be weak to allow for some room. The GFS has an impressive upper air system swinging through on Wednesday.

Snow Ice Rain Coming Monday GFS MAPS FOR WEDNESDAY MORNING

gfs138 Snow Ice Rain coming Monday gfs138 Snow Ice Rain coming Monday

 

At this point lets wait until tonight’s runs to see if the weaker look translates to the European model. In the meantime if the weaker solution becomes reality, I will be putting out snowfall forecast maps in the morning. My early guess for Monday  off the top of my head would be a coating to a few inches from the coast to inland. North and West of route 80 in NJ and 287 in Southeast NY might see a few inches or a bit more before a change to ice and then rain. But again this is only an early guess

 

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SNOW FORECASTS

JOIN JOESTRADAMUS ON YOUTUBE!

LATEST JOESTRADAMUS ON THE LONG RANGE

LONG ISLAND WEATHER

NEW YORK WEATHER

 

Weather App

storm free

Winter is here! Don’t be without Meteorologist Joe Cioffi’s weather app. It is a complete weather app to suit your forecast needs. All the weather information you need is right on your phone. Android or I-phone, use it to keep track of all the latest weather information and forecasts. This weather app is also free of advertising so you don’t have to worry about security issues with your device. An accurate forecast and no worries that your device is being compromised.

Use it in conjunction with my website and my facebook and twitterand you have complete weather coverage of all the latest weather and the long range outlook. The website has been redone and upgraded. Its easy to use and everything is archived so you can see how well Joe does or doesn’t do when it comes to forecasts and outlooks.

Just click on the google play button or the apple store button on the sidebar for my app which is onMy Weather Concierge. Download the app for free. Subscribe to my forecasts on an ad free environment for just 99 cents a month.
Get my forecasts in the palm of your hand for less than the cost of a cup of Joe!

 

 

 

storm free

googleplay


Liked it? Take a second to support joestradamus on Patreon!