Severe Weather Risk Today Saturday As Weather Fronts Laura Remnants Arrive
Beautiful Sunday Monday
This is the second day in a row of severe weather risk though it seems it will be far less widespread than it was yesterday. A frontal boundary keeps moving back and forth over us which is often where there is thunderstorm risk. Today’s risk of widespread activity is more to the west. In the meantime today we will see some sunshine and it will be very warm and humid day. Most highs will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s but north and east of NYC temperatures will be a bit lower.
Of course this is another day to keep a watch on the regional and local radars for storm development. At least it is quiet this morning so there are no issues into the early afternoon.
LOCAL RADAR NEW YORK CITY
Short range models did a better job yesterday with the severe weather outbreak and we are following the HRRR model today. Yesterday the main activity was north of New York City and today it seems it will be more to to the south.
You may notice the rotation moving into Kentucky on the HRRR. That is the remnant low of Hurricane Laura which will remain as a spiraling band of rain that will be moving east tonight and Saturday. A cold front is coming in from the northwest as low pressure heads across the Great Lakes and Northeast. The pattern is set for rain and thunderstorms on Saturday.
The remnant low of Laura will be getting absorbed by the frontal boundary to the north so we don’t have to worry about widespread wind from this system. I don’t think it makes a difference in terms of the outcome. It looks like a day where we will see rain and some thunderstorms with highs in the 70s to some lower 80s. The Storm Prediction Center has a slight risk for severe weather Saturday in much of our area from New Jersey and Eastern Pennsylvania southward. We should point out that there is a 2 percent tornado risk for much of the risk zone for Saturday.
The front passes offshore Saturday evening and weather conditions will improve setting us up for a nice Sunday and Monday of sunshine, low humidity and cool temperatures. Sunday’s highs will be in the upper 70s and lower 80s and Monday’s highs will be in the 70s! Weather systems will be moving along next week which means more ups and downs and cold fronts every 3 days or so. The tropics are quiet for now with no issues ahead of us for the time being.
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS
Please note that with regards to any severe weather, tropical storms, or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.