Severe Weather Risk Late Today Very Warm Humid Saturday
Normally on the day after a tropical cyclone or even a non tropical one, drier air comes in on the back side however this time we are seeing that dry air pinned up to the north in Canada and instead of having a nice day post Tropical Storm Fay, we are having a very warm and humid one with some sunshine but also with the chance for severe weather late today. The Storm Prediction Center has a marginal risk of severe weather indicated from Northeast Pennsylvania and New Jersey east to Upstate NY, Southern and Central New England. Long Island, and NYC. Otherwise it is a day of sunshine, high humidity, and temperatures in the mid 80s to around 90 degrees in some spots.
The circulation of Tropical Storm Fay is well north along the Canadian border and it has brought much needed rain to the last of the parched areas of upstate NY and interior New England. We will be looking out to the west today as an upper trough moves east and sets off late day thunderstorms. For now it least there are no issues into this afternoon.
Once the storms exit this evening weather conditions improve overnight. This leads us to a nice Sunday of sunshine and just a very small chance for a pop up shower or thunderstorm. Highs will be in the 80s to near 90. Monday will bring another cold front with sunshine ahead of it along with very warm and humid conditions. Highs will be in the 80s and the risk of late day thunderstorms.
After Monday’s cold front goes by we get a little break from the humidity for Tuesday and Wednesday as a weak high builds in from the Great Lakes. This should lead to sunshine for both Tuesday and Wednesday with lower dew points to reasonable levels and highs both days in the low to mid 80s. Humidity comes back for the end of the week but we probably won’t see any chance for thunderstorms until perhaps next weekend when we deal with the next cold front approaching from the west. The tropics are quiet now that Fay is gone so we have no worries there.
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS
Please note that with regards to any severe weather, tropical storms, or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.