Tropical Storm Fay Winds Now 60 MPH Heading North Along New Jersey Coast
Tropical Storm Fay has strengthened a bit more this morning and top winds are now 60 mph. During this morning the center became better defined drawing a little non tropical energy from an upper low to the northwest of the center. Gales have expanded outward north and west of the center which required warnings to be extended further south to Delaware.
LOCATION…38.4N 74.5W
ABOUT 40 MI…65 KM SSE OF CAPE MAY NEW JERSEY
ABOUT 170 MI…270 KM S OF NEW YORK CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…60 MPH…95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…N OR 5 DEGREES AT 12 MPH…19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…999 MB…29.50 INCHES
The center is well defined on the satellite picture below and some convection has developed on the south side of the center for the first time. Movement is north and heavy rains are spreading northward over New Jersey to NYC and Long Island and will head further north into the Hudson Valley and Connecticut this afternoon.
SATELLITE
REGIONAL RADAR
The heaviest rain is west and north of the center and we have already seen numerous flash flood warnings over Southern New Jersey this morning. The arc of rain looks like a “comma head” so whoever gets under it will see 2 to 4 inches of rain with some locally higher amounts.
LOCAL RADAR NEW YORK CITY
LOCAL RADAR PHILADELPHIA
Rain will continue into this evening from Northern New Jersey, NYC, Long Island and points north while it will start to come to an end from south to north across Southern Pennsylvania and Southern New Jersey as the afternoon wears on. Winds along the coast will gust to gale force at times but much of the wind issues will be confined to the immediate coastal areas and the beaches.
The Storm Prediction Center has raised the risk are to slight risk for Coastal New Jersey and Long Island this afternoon and it is possible we could see some tornadoes or waterspouts as Fay moves northward. The severe weather threat is to the east of the track of Fay.
Weather conditions will improve overnight and Saturday we will see warm and humid conditions. An upper trough will trigger off some thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening and the Storm Prediction Center has our area in a marginal risk for severe weather Saturday. The HRRR model develops a line of thunderstorms late in the afternoon in Eastern Pennsylvania and moves them east to Southern New England but much of the day should be fine into early afternoon at least. Sunday remains the better of the two weekend days with sunshine very warm and humid conditions. Highs will be in the 80s to near 90. Another chance for thunderstorms is forecast for Monday
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MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS
Please note that with regards to any severe weather, tropical storms, or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.
