Severe Thunderstorms Pennsylvania Forecast Weakening Tonight
Severe Thunderstorms Pennsylvania
Forecast Weakening Tonight
Looking at the satellite and radar loops this afternoon we are seeing a flare up of strong thunderstorms developing across Western Pennsylvania. The large spring storm in the Midwest is spinning away as it moves northeastward. It seems that the storms will maintain strength through this evening as they move across Pennsylvania but they will probably lose support as they move across New Jersey, New York City & Long Island later tonight.
The marine layer is rather stubborn along the coast where temperatures are struggling this afternoon. West and south of the warm front however the atmosphere remains supportive. While some showers and thunderstorms are forecast to survive the trip across Pennsylvania, it would seem that the severe weather threat will most likely shift northward tonight with less impact for our area.
The latest HRRR model from 7pm to Midnight shows how the line of storms weakens as it moves east. This seems to make sense to me given the condition of the lower atmosphere.
HRRR MODEL FORECAST 7PM MONDAY TO 1AM TUESDAY
Once this front passes offshore weather conditions will improve Tuesday with developing sunshine and highs in the upper 60s and lower 70s. Cooler weather arrives Wednesday with some sunshine and highs in the low to middle 60s. After that another storm system from the Southern Plains will head east for Thursday and Friday and we stand a good chance of seeing some heavy rains Thursday night and Friday. The pattern will keep the chance for showers in throughout the weekend though it won’t be raining all the time.
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