Record Highs Possible As Maria 115 MPH Winds Moving North Northwest
Record Highs Possible As Maria 115 MPH Winds
Moving North Northwest
…DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS EXPECTED AT SOUTHEASTERN UNITED
STATES BEACHES FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS…
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
ABOUT 245 MI…395 KM E OF ELEUTHERA ISLAND
ABOUT 320 MI…515 KM E OF NASSAU
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…115 MPH…185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 8 MPH…13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…952 MB…28.12 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
With the first weekend of Autumn upon us it would be somewhat strange that we got into a warm summertime pattern now but sometimes these things don’t exactly line up with the calendar. Sunshine covers just about the entire area and temperatures will be headed up into the low and middle 80s. With no change in air mass that means that Sunday’s temperatures will be even higher and we could see highs in the middle 80s to near 90 and record highs could be set in many locations.
Maria stands out on the satellite loop this morning as it has moved away from the Bahamas and is now in the open waters of the Atlantic and pushing north northwestward. We can also see the remnant cloud swirl from Hurricane Jose as that continues to spin southeast of Cape Cod but it is beginning to move away to the northeast. This will close the out to sea window for now as high pressure aloft in the Atlantic holds firm. Maria is moving around the western edge of that high and that should keep it on either a north or north northwest course over the next few days.
Radars are likely to remain silent for the next several days and there is no rain threat here at least through Tuesday. After Tuesday Maria will be getting rather close to the North Carolina Outer Banks. Weather models overnight continued the trend from yesterday of shifting Maria to the west. Timing of course is critical here between Maria’s course and the jet stream to the north which is forecast to drop southward.
GFS UPPER AIR JET STREAM WEDNESDAY NIGHT 8PM
This will turn Maria northeastward but the question will be how far north does Maria get before that jet stream drops down and kicks it out. Also the jet is taking a little longer to drop southward and that could very important is to whether Maria stays offshore or makes a landfall in the Middle Atlantic states. It seems that more options are on the table here going forward.