Rain For New York, NJ, PA, CT This Afternoon and Tonight
The first shot of rain has come through this morning and there is still some more rain to go this afternoon. Southern areas have seen the steadier rain end already but with low pressure that is going to develop offshore there will be some rain thrown back westward tonight into early Wednesday morning for Coastal New Jersey and Long Island. The loop shows the clouds and rain from the coastal low and you can also see the distinct feature of Tropical Storm Kate as it moves basically underneath and inside the warm sector of the coastal system.
With regards to Tropical Storm Kate it is forecast to become a hurricane as it moves quickly to the northeast. It will eventually absorb this coastal low (and not the other way around) to be come a large ocean storm that will cross the Atlantic. The following is from the 10am advisory. Tropical Storm Kate has 70 mph winds and will probably reach hurricane strength this afternoon or evening.
...KATE MOVING QUICKLY NORTHEASTWARD... ...FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM EST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.2N 74.7W ABOUT 350 MI...560 KM S OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 600 MI...970 KM W OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES
With regards to additional rainfall we should still be able to add on an additional 1/2 inch or so in most places which would mean that most of the area will fall inside the 1/2 inch to one inch range on total rainfall. Temperatures this afternoon will settle in the 50s as winds turn northeast and increase a bit especially along the coast. Note that it will not rain straight through tomorrow morning as there will be breaks from time to time and from place to place.
Weather conditions will improve on Wednesday with clouds giving way to some sunshine and temperatures back into the lower 60s. The next cold front could bring some showers and maybe a thunderstorm later Thursday. This will be followed by somewhat colder air for Friday and the weekend which will be dry with temperatures near normal for this time of year.
GALE WARNINGS FOR THE COASTAL WATERS
JOESTRADAMUS ON THE LONG RANGE
JOESTRADAMUS ON WINTER 2015-2016