Major Storm Rain Spreading Northward Winds Gusting to 50 Mph Tonight Coastal Areas
Rain is advancing steadily northward and we are seeing a large area of moderate to heavy rain that is gearing up for the late afternoon and evening rush hour commute. 2 to 3 inches of rain in a 6 to 8 hour time frame is a recipe for flash flooding. Flash Flood Watch continues this afternoon and tonight for the Northeastern Counties of New Jersey. Winds along the coast will be picking up considerably with gusts from the southeast and south to 50 mph possible. Wind Advisories are posted for the New Jersey coast, Southeast Connecticut and the Eastern Suffolk County.
Regional radar is loaded at midday with heavy rains now moving into Southern New Jersey and Southeastern Pennsylvania head heading northeast. Some thunderstorms are likely to develop from this during this evening as low pressure rapidly intensifies just east of New Jersey and south of Long Island.
LOCAL RADAR NEW YORK CITY
Everything remains on course this afternoon. There are no significant changes in the outlook. Weather models all have the same idea. Looking at the NAM rainfall forecast amounts are a little higher today in some areas and about the same in others. 2 to 3 inches seems likely from Northern New Jersey northeast to New England and upstate NY with a little less to the south and west.
The nam forecast from 2pm this afternoon to 2am Thursday shows the progression of the developing low. After midnight most of the rain is well to the north into the Middle Hudson Valley to Northern Connecticut. The low at this point is just southeast of Montauk.
As for the wind it will be its strongest as the low approaches. The low will be intensifying rapidly as it makes its approach to our area which is when you get the worst weather in situations like this. Gusts to 50 mph along the coast will not be uncommon as the pressure in the low drops over 20 mb in a handfull of hours.
Coastal flooding will only be an issue with this evening’s high tide with minor to moderate coastal flooding possible for Long Island and New Jersey. After that winds shift around to the northwest and tidal concerns diminish. Finally tonight’s Yankee Astro’s game is postponed because of the heavy rains.
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS
Please note that with regards to any severe weather, tropical storms, or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.