hurricane warnings

Hurricane Warnings Bermuda Nicole 90 MPH

Hurricane Warnings Bermuda Nicole 90 MPH

Hurricane Warnings Bermuda Nicole 90 MPH

Judging from the satellite loop Hurricane Nicole continues to strengthen as the eye has once again reappeared and there appears to be a burst of convection going on near the eye. There has been no reconnaissance aircraft there since this afternoon. The advisory is carrying 90 mph but I suspect that this may be conservative. Nicole still has favorable conditions for another 24 hours or so and could still become a major hurricane as it approaches Bermuda Wednesday night.

BULLETIN
HURRICANE NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016
1100 PM AST TUE OCT 11 2016

...NICOLE STRENGTHENS A BIT MORE WHILE IT DRIFTS WESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.3N 66.6W
ABOUT 360 MI...580 KM SSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.  A warning is typically issued
36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-
force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.  Preparations to protect life and property should be
rushed to completion.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Nicole was
located near latitude 27.3 North, longitude 66.6 West. Nicole is
drifting toward the west near 2 mph (4 km/h). A faster motion toward
the northwest and north-northwest is expected overnight, followed by
a turn toward the north and an increase in forward speed by late
Wednesday. A further increase in forward speed and a turn toward the
north-northeast is forecast on Thursday. On the forecast track, the
center of Nicole will approach Bermuda Wednesday night and pass near
Bermuda on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 90 mph (150 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Some strengthening is forecast during the next
48 hours, and Nicole could be near major hurricane strength by late
Wednesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles
(185 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 970 mb (28.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Hurricane conditions are expected to begin on Bermuda
Thursday morning, with tropical storm conditions expected to begin
by Wednesday evening.

STORM SURGE:  A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce coastal
flooding in Bermuda.  Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied
by large and destructive waves.

RAINFALL:  Nicole is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 3 to 5 inches over Bermuda through Thursday.

SURF:  Swells associated with Nicole will affect Bermuda during the
next few days.  These swells will create dangerous surf conditions
and rip currents.  Please refer to products being issued by the
Bermuda Weather Service.

hurricane warnings

The latest GFS model run brings Hurricane Nicole right over Bermuda Thursday afternoon before it accelerates northeastward into the Atlantic.

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