Hurricane Lane Category 4 Hurricane Hurricane Warning Hawaii

Hurricane Lane Category 4 Winds 150 MPH

MOVING WNW 9 MPH

HURRICANE WARNINGS BIG ISLAND HAWAII

Please consult your local National Weather Service office at weather.gov for the latest information on any tropical or storms or hurricanes that could be a threat to your area. Consult your local government officials regarding action you may need to take to secure life and property

Overnight Hurricane Lane reached Category 5 status with winds of 160 mph and a central pressure of 922 millibars. Since last night we have seen a little bit of weakening from the peak in strength. The Air Force recon reports show that the pressure has risen 16 millibars. This could be due to an eyewall replacement cycle where fluctuations in strength occur as the eyewall deteriorates and a new eyewall develops. The presentation on the satellite remains rather impressive with that “buzzsaw” look to it. Hurricane Lane appears to be gaining latitude here as forecast by models as the ridge to the north of Hawaii weakens enough to allow for a northward component of motion to develop.

HURRICANE LANE SATELLITE LOOP

What we are going to be looking for from here is evidence of wind shear which could create a longer range weakening trend. There is a trough to the west of Lane that will eventually interact with the hurricane though to what extent remains to be seen. Also if Hurricane Lane weakens faster then forecast the circulation will begin to respond to the lower level easterly winds which would cause a faster turn to the west. This would be an important develop because it would reduce the threat of a direct hit to the Hawaiian Islands.

LATEST ADVISORY FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
…POWERFUL HURRICANE LANE CONTINUES MOVING WEST NORTHWESTWARD
TOWARD THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS…

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…15.1N 155.3W
ABOUT 315 MI…505 KM S OF KAILUA-KONA HAWAII
ABOUT 460 MI…740 KM SSE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…155 MPH…250 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 MPH…15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…935 MB…27.61 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Hurricane Warning has been issued for…
* Maui County…including the islands of Maui, Lanai, Molokai and
Kahoolawe

A Hurricane Watch has been issued for…
* Kauai

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…
* Hawaii County
* Maui County…including the islands of Maui, Lanai, Molokai and
Kahoolawe

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…
* Oahu
* Kauai

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued
36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-
force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult
or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be
rushed to completion.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before
the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds,
conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.

Interests elsewhere in the main Hawaiian Islands, and across the
Northwestern Hawaiian Islands, should continue to closely monitor
the progress of Hurricane Lane. Additional Tropical Storm or
Hurricane Watches or Warnings may be issued tonight or Wednesday.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by the National Weather Service office in
Honolulu Hawaii.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Lane was located
near latitude 15.1 North, longitude 155.3 West. Lane is moving
toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this motion is
expected to become northwest later today, followed by a
turn to the north-northwest on Thursday. On the forecast track, the
center of Lane will move very close to or over the main Hawaiian
Islands from Thursday through Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 155 mph (250 km/h) with higher
gusts. Lane is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Some weakening is forecast during the next 48
hours, but Lane is forecast to remain a dangerous hurricane as it
draws closer to the Hawaiian Islands.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
(220 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 935 mb (27.61 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the
Hurricane Warning area beginning late tonight into
early Thursday morning, with hurricane conditions expected
somewhere within the warning area on Thursday. Tropical storm
conditions are possible within the Hurricane Watch area beginning
Thursday into Thursday night, with hurricane conditions possible
late Thursday night into Friday.

RAINFALL: Excessive rainfall associated with Lane is expected
to affect portions of the Hawaiian Islands from late today
into the weekend, leading to flash flooding and landslides. Lane is
expected to produce total rain accumulations of 10 to 15 inches with
isolated amounts greater than 20 inches over the Hawaiian Islands.

SURF: Large swells generated by Lane will impact the Hawaiian
Islands, beginning this morning on the Big Island, spreading
across the remainder of the island chain on today. These
swells will produce large and potentially damaging surf along
exposed west, south and east facing shorelines.