HURRICANE JOSE

Hurricane Jose Crawling Offshore 75 Mph Winds

Hurricane Jose Crawling Offshore 75 Mph Winds

 

Hurricane Jose Crawling Offshore 75 Mph Winds

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Watch Hill to Hull
* Block Island
* Martha’s Vineyard
* Nantucket

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* The coast of Long Island from Fire Island Inlet to Port Jefferson
* New Haven to Watch Hill

Jose still remains a category 1 hurricane this morning with 75 mph winds. Looking at the satellite loop it doesn’t appear to be moving very much this morning. Some thunderstorms seem to be flaring up on the northwest side just off the New Jersey Delaware coast.

HURRICANE JOSE SATELLITE LOOP

storm free

On the wider satellite view you can see Jose tucked in a bit along the coast. Usually storms at this point are racing northward but there is a big upper high in the east and steering mechanisms are extremely weak. There really isn’t much of a push to get Jose out of the way. The biggest issue in the coming days will be coastal flooding at high tides with Jose combining with the new moon and the autumnal equinox (arrival of Fall) to create moderate flooding potential along the New Jersey and Long Island coastlines. Coastal Flood Warning is in effect for the South Shore Beaches of Nassau County and the Atlantic Ocean beaches in NYC. Coastal Flood Warning is also in effect for New Jersey from Sandy Hook to Cape May. Tides will run up to 2 1/2  feet above normal which will cause moderate coastal flooding and beach erosion. This could be an issue for the rest of this week with Jose lingering offshore.

SATELLITE LOOP

storm free

REGIONAL RADAR

storm free

Bands of rain from Jose are backing westward from off the ocean. So far they don’t seem to be anything too problematic. Its a little breezy along coastal areas but not much happening inland at the moment.

LOCAL RADAR NEW YORK CITY

storm free

LOCAL RADAR PHILADELPHIA
storm free

The slow movement means we will have Jose in our back yard for the next few days either as a tropical storm or as a extra tropical or post tropical noreaster. However with the center far enough out, weather conditions will be easy enough to manage as we have been indicating for days. Inland areas really will see no impact at all that is out of the ordinary. Rainfall amounts inland will be minimal, perhaps a bit more along the coast. Weather conditions could begin to improve Wednesday from west to east once Jose gets far enough offshore.

…JOSE STILL A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE…
…EXPECTED TO PRODUCE DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS ALONG
THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FOR SEVERAL MORE DAYS…

 

SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT…1200 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…36.3N 71.6W
ABOUT 235 MI…380 KM ENE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 350 MI…560 KM SSW OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…75 MPH…120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…N OR 350 DEGREES AT 9 MPH…15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…973 MB…28.73 INCHES

 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Watch Hill to Hull
* Block Island
* Martha’s Vineyard
* Nantucket

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* The coast of Long Island from Fire Island Inlet to Port Jefferson
* New Haven to Watch Hill

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jose was located
by an an Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft near latitude
36.3 North, longitude 71.6 West. Jose is moving toward the north
near 9 mph (15 km/h). This general motion is expected to continue
through today with a turn to the northeast anticipated tonight. On
the forecast track, the center of Jose is forecast to pass well
offshore of the Delmarva peninsula later today, pass well to the
east of the New Jersey coast on Wednesday, and pass offshore of
southeastern Massachusetts by Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is expected today, but Jose should
begin to gradually weaken on Wednesday.

Jose is a large tropical cyclone. Hurricane-force winds extend
outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm-
force winds extend outward up to 310 miles (500 km). A ship
located more than 200 miles southwest of the center of Jose
recently reported a sustained wind of 40 mph (65 km/h), and NOAA
Buoy 44014, located east of the Virginia-North Carolina border or
about 160 miles west of the center, also reported a sustained wind
of 40 mph (65 km/h).

The minimum central pressure recently measured by the reconnaissance
aircraft was 973 mb (28.68 inches).

 

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin in the
warning area early Wednesday. Tropical storm conditions are
possible in the watch area beginning tonight.

SURF: Swells generated by Jose are affecting Bermuda, the Bahamas,
and much of the U.S. east coast. These swells are likely to cause
dangerous surf and rip current conditions for the next several
days in these areas. For more information, please consult products
from your local weather office.

RAINFALL: Jose is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
1 to 3 inches over eastern Long Island, southeast Connecticut,
southern Rhode Island, and southeast Massachusetts. Rainfall
amounts of 3 to 5 inches are expected for Martha’s Vineyard,
Nantucket and Cape Cod through Wednesday. This rainfall could cause
isolated flooding.

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Long Island

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For New Jersey

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Hudson Valley

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SNOW FORECASTS

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