HRRR Model Showers
We have a short threat for some showers Thursday morning. The HRRR model seems to have a fair handle on this. The bulk of any showers will be south of New York City. Areas north and east will see only a few passing showers before dry air comes back in from the north and turns skies partly sunny by mid to late morning.
HRRR Model Showers 5am Thursday
The area of rain is being caused by a disturbance moving southeast from the Great Lakes to the Middle Atlantic Coast. The HRRR is a little weaker with the rain on the last 2 runs. I also think the rain shown in the lighter green is probably not reaching the ground. By 8am we have most of the rain over New Jersey with less north and east. Im covering for the possibility of a passing shower north and east of NYC. South of NYC there could be some steadier rain until it all pulls out by mid morning.
HRRR Model Showers 8am Thursday
The air aloft is so dry that it could be argued that the bulk of all this never actually reaches the ground. When you look at the HRRR total precipitation forecast through 8am, it shows little or nothing for much of the area.
HRRR Model Showers Total Rainfall Through 8am Thursday
I’m going to continue to go along with the idea that after some passing showers we become partly sunny from north to south. Dry air should dominate on Friday with no worse than partly sunny skies. The weekend looks good for both Saturday and Sunday.
MENTION JOE CIOFFI AND GET A 5% DISCOUNT
Don’t be without Meteorologist Joe Cioffi’s weather app. It is really a meteorologist app because you get my forecasts and my analysis and not some automated computer generated forecast based on the GFS model. This is why your app forecast changes every 6 hours. It is model driven with no human input at all. It gives you an icon, a temperature and no insight whatsoever.
It is a complete weather app to suit your forecast needs. All the weather information you need is right on your phone. Android or I-phone, use it to keep track of all the latest weather information and forecasts. This weather app is also free of advertising so you don’t have to worry about security issues with your device. An accurate forecast and no worries that your device is being compromised.
Use it in conjunction with my website and my facebook and twitter and you have complete weather coverage of all the latest weather and the long range outlook. The website has been redone and upgraded. Its easy to use and everything is archived so you can see how well Joe does or doesn’t do when it comes to forecasts and outlooks.
Just click on the google play button or the apple store button on the sidebar for my app which is on My Weather Concierge. Download the app for free. Subscribe to my forecasts on an ad free environment for just 99 cents a month.
Get my forecasts in the palm of your hand for less than the cost of a cup of Joe!