Hermine Impact New Jersey
Hermine Impact New Jersey
Coastal Areas Impacted
Inland Much Less
Satellite loops clearly show post tropical storm Hermine off the east. The satellite signature is indicative of a non tropical cyclone. It has a cold core look to it. That said it is a formidable storm with winds to hurricane force. The difference is that there are no core thunderstorms near the center. The strongest winds are located 100 miles or more from the circulation center rather than concentrated near the center of circulation. With all that said the impacts will be very much like a strong winter time noreaster. The good news is that barring a last minute shift there is not going to be a landfall. However the bad news is Hermine is trapped under a strong upper air vortex that has captured the cyclone and it has no where to move. There is nothing in the upper flow to kick it along in the normal west to east flow. Therefore where the center winds up is important. The closer to the coast it is, the greater chance you have of getting into the wind and rain. On the other hand the further northwest you are the less you will see.
Watch the radars on Sunday as the rain will more than likely be backing in from the east and not from the south or southwest. The way it looks at the moment the biggest issue will be coastal flooding. Where that center is at the time of high tide will determine the extent of any tidal surge. Sunday evening high tides and Monday mid morning high tides are the two critical tide cycles to pay attention to.
Hermine Impact In New Jersey
HERMINE IMPACT WEST OF THE GARDEN STATE PARKWAY
For New Jersey if you are west of the Garden State Parkway impacts will be much less in terms of wind and rain. Northwest areas of New Jersey may not see much at all. Some rain and some gusty winds but nothing out of the ordinary.
HERMINE IMPACT EAST OF THE GARDEN STATE PARKWAY
Along the New Jersey shore is where you are more than likely to see a period of gale force winds and some rain. I don’t think rain is a huge issue here. The biggest issue will be coastal flooding
WINDS: NORTHEAST GRADUALLY SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 20-35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 POSSIBLE
COASTAL FLOODING: TIDES 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL POSSIBLE FROM SANDY HOOK TO CAPE MAY
Look for the rain to back in from off the ocean late Sunday afternoon or evening and continue into Monday morning before slowly diminishing. High tide are Sunday evening and again mid morning Monday.
Right now based on the latest model runs I am painting what I believe to be the worst case scenario. We will update this outlook during the day Sunday and Sunday night. All of this will be dependent on the track of Hermine and how strong it is at the time it makes its nearest approach to the coast Sunday night into Monday. Again I want to emphasize that coastal flooding is the biggest issue.
FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Long Island
FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For New Jersey
FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Hudson Valley
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SNOW FORECASTS
LATEST JOESTRADAMUS ON THE LONG RANGE
Weather App
Don’t be without Meteorologist Joe Cioffi’s weather app. It is really a meteorologist app because you get my forecasts and my analysis and not some automated computer generated forecast based on the GFS model. This is why your app forecast changes every 6 hours. It is model driven with no human input at all. It gives you an icon, a temperature and no insight whatsoever.
It is a complete weather app to suit your forecast needs. All the weather information you need is right on your phone. Android or I-phone, use it to keep track of all the latest weather information and forecasts. This weather app is also free of advertising so you don’t have to worry about security issues with your device. An accurate forecast and no worries that your device is being compromised.
Use it in conjunction with my website and my facebook and twitter and you have complete weather coverage of all the latest weather and the long range outlook. The website has been redone and upgraded. Its easy to use and everything is archived so you can see how well Joe does or doesn’t do when it comes to forecasts and outlooks.
Just click on the google play button or the apple store button on the sidebar for my app which is on My Weather Concierge. Download the app for free. Subscribe to my forecasts on an ad free environment for just 99 cents a month.
Get my forecasts in the palm of your hand for less than the cost of a cup of Joe!
MENTION JOE CIOFFI AND GET A 5% DISCOUNT