Heavy Rain Moving Northeast Friday Showers Weekend
Heavy Rain Moving Northeast Friday Showers Weekend
Everything remains on course for a shot of heavy rain for Friday. Until then we are going to be dry through Thursday evening with rain arriving during the early morning hours on Friday. Low pressure is currently developing over the Southern Plains and headed northeast. Severe weather is breaking out today across much of the Central Gulf States.
This system is seeing some strong inflow developing from the Gulf of Mexico. The low will track northeast into the Tennessee and Ohio Valley before making its way to the west side of the Appalachians. This looks like a 1 to 2 inch rain producer and that part of the forecast remains the same. There should be a shot of rain during Friday morning and then a heavier shot during the afternoon and evening. Weather models are all pretty consistent with this idea. As always some areas could get a bit more and some a bit less.
HEAVY RAIN GFS RAINFALL FORECAST THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING 8AM
Once the low moves into upstate NY it is going to slow down and stall which will create a lot of instability over the weekend. This means that the chance for showers continues through Sunday. Each morning could start dry before showers build up The weekend showers will tend to be more scattered in nature rather than widespread but they will be around. Some places will get more than others and some could escape them.
GFS RAINFALL SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
Note that the rainfall amounts for the weekend total under a quarter of an inch for the entire region with heavier rains to the north. In fact elevated areas well to the north might be cold enough for wet snow.
The colder air for the weekend for our area will probably keep temperature in the 60s on Saturday and more like upper 50s and lower 60s on Sunday. With the blocking continuing longer term, cool air, clouds, and the chance for showers will continue on and off next week.
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