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Fingers Crossed Improving Weather Later Today
Overnight rains were substantial in most areas on the order of about an inch or so. Now it becomes a matter of the back edge of the rain which is moving offshore this morning and getting the western edge of the clouds to move eastward as well. There is a limited amount of time before clouds from the next and stronger weather system now revving up in Texas gets here. Temperatures are in the upper 50s and lower 60s this morning so if we can manage any kind of sunshine later this morning and this afternoon we should see temperatures rise up into the 70s.
Regional radar shows downpours lined up northeast to southwest this morning and continuing their slide to the east. The rain has lingered longer than modeled yesterday which is a concern when it comes to getting it to dry out and hope for some sunshine. Local downpours do show the trend eastward though some areas Like Eastern Long Island, Connecticut and Southern New Jersey may have a bit more work to do when it comes to getting the rain to end.
LOCAL RADAR NEW YORK CITY
We will go with the idea that clouds will give way to some sunshine at some point late this morning and this afternoon in which case highs will reach into the 70s but where clouds hold on and if you are near an ocean, temperatures will more likely remain in the 60s.
There will be no issues tonight with clear skies and some patchy coastal fog. Lows will be in the 40s to low 50s in most places. Then we look ahead to Sunday with the next storm system and cold front that will be headed our way. Palm Sunday is likely to be mainly dry with clouds around and a south wind. Highs will be in the 60s. A spot shower or two can’t be ruled out. Then a cold front moves through with showers and thunderstorms Sunday night into Monday morning. It is conceivable that the bulk of the showers wait until after midnight and then last into the morning hours on Monday much like what we are seeing this morning.
Weather conditions should improve Monday with clouds giving way to afternoon sunshine, gusty winds and temperatures in the upper 60s and lower 70s before it turns cooler for Tuesday. Next week looks complicated and while it doesn’t appear that there will be any substantial rain until the end of the week, we will be dealing with cloud issues and weak systems late Tuesday into Thursday. Each of these systems could produce a few showers late Tuesday or Tuesday night. We may actually be sitting with a warm frontal boundary to our south for a few days which will put us in clouds and the chance for showers Wednesday and Thursday along with temperatures on the cool side.
You can see the GFS model idea for next Thursday as another intense storm develops in the Plains and this looks to be another system where the impact extends from the Rockies to the East Coast. We will still have that stubborn warm front to our south which may finally get through here by Friday with showers and thunderstorms. The big issue for Easter weekend is if that front stalls out or not because if ti does we have more rain to look forward to next Saturday and Sunday.
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS
Please note that with regards to any tropical storms or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.