Euro Weather Model Late Week Rain

Euro Weather Model Late Week Rain

Euro Weather Model Late Week Rain

There are different weather models with different weather outcomes for late this week and next weekend which is Father’s day weekend. We will focus here on the Euro Weather Model Late Week Rain scenario that it paints.

Euro Weather Model Late Week Rain

Sunday Upper Air Forecast

gfs168

Clearly the Euro model has a very stormy scenario developing next weekend. Even the GFS model has a similar idea though the picture of depth on the GFS model is one that is much weaker.

Euro Weather Model Late Week Rain

GFS Model Sunday Morning

gfs168

To be honest the Euro weather model has been over developing weather systems in the east for months now and the GFS has been better with these things overall. The GFS model would still point to rainy weather late this week and next weekend though it would be in a much weaker form then the Euro model which has a wipe out rainfall for the parts of the Mid Atlantic to Southern New England.

Euro Weather Model Late Week Rain Comparison to GFS Model

gfs168 euro168

Both models show deep surface lows along the east coast with the Euro model much more bullish further north. Now through all of this the question of tropical storm development will come up. It would seem to me that is a non tropical low that develops here. These systems need lots of time to transition from cold core to warm core and that does not appear to be the case here. So at this point we will leave tropical development off the table. We can say that nothing happens around here at least through Wednesday. After that it will all be a matter of how the upper air evolves.

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