Colder Pattern Coming Like An April Fool

Colder Pattern Coming Like An April Fool

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Weather models led by the Euro model continue to move in lock step toward a cold start to the month of April. All models point to a big ridge in the Northeast Pacific creates a strong cross polar flow. This will cause cold air to be displaced far south of normal for the first week or so of April.

Colder Pattern Coming Like An April Fool Euro and GFS model Day 10 Sunday April 3

euro240 Colder Pattern Coming gfs234 Colder Pattern Coming

While the GFS model and the Euro model differ in the specific details the broad pattern is pretty similar. The GFS model wants to bring it down in 2 phases with the coldest air after April 4th While the European with the deeper more dominant vortex would bring the cold air in beginning next weekend. While the models are cold, the unreliable gfs has more energy running around. The Euro model shows the vortex so dominant that there isn’t much room for anything else. My own view is that until the Euro model shows something worth watching, I’m not going to waste my energy over it. April snows need to be perfectly set up and frankly right now, I don’t see it.

Colder Pattern Coming Like An April Fool Temperature Anomaly Monday April 4th

gfs252 Colder Pattern Coming

This is the departure from normal on Monday April 4th on the GFS model. It shows temperatures running 15 degrees below normal. This puts highs in the low to mid 40s and lows in the 20s if this is correct. The Euro model might be a little colder than this judging from the upper air structure. I think the bottom line is that if you were thinking about planting early, I would hold off.

 

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