Climate Discussion With JOESTRADAMUS
This climate discussion will deal with the late afternoon long range GFS which continues to be consistent with the other models regarding what is being modeled for the long term as we head into January. Nothing has changed regarding the short term this week. Cold relief is coming and by Monday we will be well up into the 50s. A storm heads to the Great Lakes with a warm front coming through here on Wednesday. Ahead of it we could see a good soaking rain here Tuesday night into Wednesday. Once the warm front goes by we could see near record highs Wednesday. However Thursday Christmas Eve will be the day of record highs with temperatures well into the 60s to some lower 70s. A cold front passes here Thursday night and it will be colder Christmas day with highs just into the 50s which will still be well above average.
This long range GFS discussion focuses on the strengthening ridge in Western Europe or the Scandinavian ridge and this ridge could prove key in setting a pattern change in motion across the Arctic. The question is whether there will be enough warming across the Arctic region to displace the polar vortex as we move deeper into the winter.
The model trends during today continue to hold fast on this idea of the ridge beginning to eat away at the dominate Arctic polar vortex. This is a process that will take a few weeks to work through (assuming it does). We need to wait another week to see all of this get underway and confirmation that the models seem to have the right idea. Where it winds up remains to be seen and there is no guarantee that any pattern change is going to make snow lovers and winter weather lovers happy.
Future climate discussions will continue daily and prior climate discussion videos are on my You Tube channel so be sure to follow me there for the latest daily videos.
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