Beautiful July 4th Before Clouds Rain
Beautiful July 4th Before Clouds Rain
After fighting the battle of high clouds yesterday dry air overnight forced all the high clouds to the south. Skies are mostly sunny everywhere at the time of this post with deep blue skies and low humidity. Temperatures are in the 70s. Now during this afternoon clouds to the south and west will begin to move in and increase going into this evening. However there is no rain anywhere close by and for the most part we should be rain free through this evening from Northern New Jersey northeastward to Long Island and Southern New England.
Low pressure is developing in the lower Ohio Valley and heading just to our south by Tuesday morning. Regional radar showing rain spreading across the Middle Atlantic States and will gradually turn northeast and head our way. The question is when does the rain move in and does it move in before fireworks begin.
Beautiful July 4th Before Clouds Rain
Regional Radar
Beautiful July 4th Before Clouds Rain
Local Radar
The HRRR model is very close with regards to the rain tonight as it is on the doorstep of New York City by 10pm. So it will be a matter of an hour or so here that makes a difference. At least it is not where it starts right off as a heavy rain as this looks to be more overrunning in nature and not convective.
HRRR MODEL 10PM TONIGHT
Rain will be tapering off around daybreak Tuesday. One or two more showers could follow as the day wears on but the bulk of the rain falls Monday night.
The NAM model rainfall forecast is pretty aggressive with rainfall amounts. Most areas are shown to get 1 to 2 inches from Southeastern Pennsylvania to Coastal Southern New England and Long Island. Im still skeptical on this since we have event after event where models overdo reality. We will see if it is different this time around.
FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Long Island
FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For New Jersey
FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Hudson Valley
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SNOW FORECASTS
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