Bad Hair Weather Could End Next Thursday

Eastern Troughs Dominate Weather Pattern Next Week

These last 4 weeks across the Northeast and Middle Atlantic States have not been easy. The humidity has been unrelenting except for the odd day here and there. The rainfall has been excessive to extreme with some areas seeing the most rain in over 100 years and measured in feet. The trough keeps coming back to the Eastern US and next week we see weather models battling again over whether we will see another trough park itself in the East and threaten again with rounds of downpours and thunderstorms.

First off with regards to the weekend, we will be seeing the first of 2 weather fronts coming through late Friday and and Saturday. The problem here is that the push is all that strong so this front is likely to linger for at least part of Saturday with clouds and showers. Then the issue of the onshore flow takes over as high pressure builds over the Canadian Maritime Provinces and we get stuck with a northeast to east flow for Sunday and Monday. This will likely keep us in clouds for both those days and temperatures not out of the 70s. One upside is that there will be a minor break from the unrelenting humidity Sunday into Monday as dew points drop into the 50s. As far as rain is concerned, once we get through any showers for the first half of Saturday there shouldn’t be much to worry about after that until later Tuesday as a cold front begins to approach from the west. Southern New Jersey southward could be at risk for some showers on Sunday and Monday however. The further south you go from NYC, the higher the risk for showers as we go through the rest of the weekend.

This time around it seems that we may be getting a bit of a break. After battling around for the last couple of days weather models seem to have settled on the idea of another trough coming into the East next week but this time around it seems weather models want to move this one along. At least we won’t get stuck with days and days of heavy downpours if that is the case. Late Tuesday into Wednesday we could see some downpours and thunderstorms until a cold front passes. With the upper troughs lifting out weather conditions will improve for Thursday and Friday of next week. The upside to all this is that we may actually get a significant break in the humidity late next week especially if the European is right with the stronger trough. The humidity break from the European would be even more robust than that from the GFS model.