autumn weather

Autumn Weather Weekend

Autumn Weather Weekend

Autumn Weather Weekend

Nights In The 40s Days In The 60S

No Rain Through Tuesday

Tropical Storm Warnings Bermuda as Karl Strengthens

Cool air is setting up an autumn weather weekend across the Northeast and Middle Atlantic States from Saturday through at least Tuesday. We have one more warm and somewhat humid day on Friday with sunshine and highs in the 80s. Late in the day a cold front approaches from the north. It will come through relatively dry with just the chance for a passing shower Friday evening.
storm free

storm free

Once the front moves through Saturday through Monday well be mainly sunny by day and clear at night with a north northeast wind. Temperatures will be averaging about 5 to 10 degrees below normal through Monday.

autumn weather

Longer term models diverge on how to handle the complex pattern that is emerging across the US next week. JOESTRADAMUS takes a look at that. 

KARL IS ONCE AGAIN A TROPICAL STORM! TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BERMUDA

...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTS THAT KARL HAS
STRENGTHENED A LITTLE MORE...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.2N 63.6W
ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM S OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...70 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Karl was
located near latitude 26.2 North, longitude 63.6 West. Karl is
moving toward the northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and is expected
to turn northward on Friday and northeastward on Saturday. On the
forecast track, the center of Karl is expected to pass near or to
the east of Bermuda Friday night and Saturday.

Reports from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the
maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (70 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Some additional strengthening is forecast during the
next 48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
to the north of the center.  NOAA buoy 41049, located northeast of
the center, recently reported sustained winds of 40 mph (65 km/h).

The minimum central pressure estimated from the the Hurricane Hunter
aircraft data is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected on Bermuda by Friday
evening.

RAINFALL:  Karl is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 1 to 3 inches over Bermuda through Saturday and early Sunday

WINTER WEATHER OUTLOOK VIDEOS

In case you missed them I’ve been previewing the upcoming winter in a series of posts and videos. Here are the first 2. More will be coming along. Links to the latest posts are below.

NEW JERSEY

LONG ISLAND AND NEARBY

WINTER 2016-2017 PART 3 NEW JERSEY

WINTER 2016-2017 PART 1 OCEAN WATER TEMPERATURES

WINTER 2016-2017 PART 2 ARCTIC SEA ICE AND SIBERIAN SNOW COVER

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Long Island

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For New Jersey

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Hudson Valley

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SNOW FORECASTS

JOIN JOESTRADAMUS ON YOUTUBE!

LATEST JOESTRADAMUS ON THE LONG RANGE

LONG ISLAND WEATHER

NEW YORK WEATHER

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