Windy Colder Snow Threat Looms
The cold front that moved through this morning produced some rain and now we are on the back side which means strong gusty winds, clouds and some sunshine. The highs for the day have already been achieved and we will see temperatures settle back into the 40s this afternoon and down into the 20s to near 30 tonight as skies clear. Winds will diminish slowly overnight as well but they will remain busy from the northwest with gusts to 30 to 40 mph or more at times for the remainder of the day.
Windy Colder Snow Threat Looms Satellite Loop
Windy Colder Snow Threat Looms Regional Radar Loop
Windy Colder Snow Threat Looms Local Radar Loops
Radars are all pretty much done with the rainfall and now we move on to the next weather system that is dropping southward into the Middle Mississippi Valley. This low is forecast to become a major ocean storm off our coastline so it is really a matter now of figuring out how close does it get. Middle runs overnight showed a shift northwestward by the GFS by enough to double snowfall amounts for the coast line.
Windy Colder Snow Threat Looms GFS MIDDLE RUN SNOWFALL FORECAST
What the GFS Model did on the middle run this morning was slow the system down which allows it to become a little more vigorous and lift a little further north. The NAM model middle run did not show this, nor did the European. Both those models would argue for a coating to an inch or two at most.
Windy Colder Snow Threat Looms GFS MIDDLE RUN UPPER AIR AND SURFACE MAP FRIDAY EVENING
At this point here comes the new NAM model which might give us additional clues. This is the map for Friday morning at 7am showing snow falling for much of the area from Northeast Virginia through Southern New England. The NAM overnight was taking the low straight east just like the Euro model did. The NAM this morning to me shows no real discernible northwest shift and continues to move the low more to the east.
Windy Colder Snow Threat Looms NEW NAM MODEL RUN FRIDAY MORNING
For now I am making no changes to my snowfall forecast from earlier which was for up to a few inches.
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