gfs42The new week begins and all we have of importance is an approaching cold front that will be moving through on Tuesday. The GFS today has sped things up today and actually brings the front through faster then prior runs. This has been the case much of the summer as fronts have come through weaker and faster then previously modeled. I don’t see any reason to argue against this since we have seen under performance on rainfall and thunderstorms for the most part. Monday looks dry through the day other than an isolated cell. Low pressure in the ocean should move away tonight and set up a good day. Showers and Thunderstorms will move from west to east Monday night into Tuesday and then the payoff.

gfs84Dry air is building in for Wednesday through Friday. It is a decent push of dry air. Cooler but not overly so and very comfortable. The front will move offshore and stall out but there is little support for any issues through the end of the week.

gfs126It really looks uneventful for next weekend which for many is the last weekend before the little ones go back to school (one can hear the screams of cheering in the background) and it looks to be warm and perhaps more humid but other than the usual scattered downours I don’t foresee anything unusual. I exclude the tropics in this conversation because that is a separate area of speculation.