Warm Weather Continues Severe Weather Risk Inland Sunday
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Warm Weather Continues Severe Weather Risk Inland Sunday
Our stretch of nice weather continues as we will have another day of sunshine. The satellite picture this morning shows some clouds over New England and offshore. Those clouds are moving to the southeast so they will have no real impact here.
We have high pressure beginning to settle to the south of NYC and that will begin to weaken the impact of the sea breeze. It will still be present along the coastal New Jersey, Long Island, and South Coastal Connecticut where temperatures will be in the 70s with 60s right at the shore. However inland highs once again will be in the mid to upper 80s.
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With the high settling to the south of Southern New England and east of the Mid Atlantic coast, our winds will turn more westerly over the weekend. Temperatures will be headed higher as a result. A weak upper trough will will move through tonight and another on Saturday. I don’t think we will see much from either system other than a scattered shower or thunderstorm
The end result will be another day of sunshine for Saturday for most of the day. Highs will reach 85 to near 90 degrees inland and even at the coast temperatures will reach into the 80s with the sea breeze begin kept to the immediate coast and only moving inland later in the afternoon and early evening.
Sunday brings a cold front dropping southward from upstate NY. This is going to set us up for a hot day for sure. Highs on Sunday will easily make upper 80s and lower 90s everywhere. I would not be at all surprised to see some areas approach 93 or 94 for highs. Highs will also reach the upper 80s to near 90 in coastal areas thanks to a west or even a northwest wind.
While you can expect sunshine for most of the day a cold front moving south from upstate NY in an east west fashion could trigger off a scattered thunderstorm. In fact the Storm Prediction Center has indicated a marginal risk for severe weather inland.
Humidity levels will remain low through Saturday but they will come up a bit Sunday as dew points rise into the lower 60s. That plus some lift ahead of the cold front should allow for some scattered storm development. Also the lack of any kind of ocean wind means that if thunderstorms develop they will survive as the reach the coast.
Monday brings a quick shot of cooler air and we will have plenty of sunshine with a nice breeze and highs in the 70s just about everywhere. The strong upper ridge over the east is going to weaken and move west over the weekend but then it comes back in a weaker form in the Eastern US for Tuesday and Wednesday of next week. That will take temperatures back into the 80s Tuesday and upper 80s and lower 90s next Wednesday. That will come ahead of a stronger cold front and a solid chance for late day Thunderstorms. We will deal with the Memorial Day weekend weather separately later today.
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