tropical storm julia

Tropical Storm Julia Back To Storm Strength

Tropical Storm Julia Back To Storm Strength

Tropical Storm Julia Back To Storm Strength

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Satellite and Air Force data this evening show that Julia has restrengthened to a Tropical Storm. The circulation center is on the western edge of the thunderstorms which are all offshore. No tropical storm warnings are posted at the moment anywhere on the coastline.

...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS THAT JULIA IS AGAIN A TROPICAL
STORM...
...EXPECTED TO MEANDER OFF THE COAST OF SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA FOR
THE NEXT FEW DAYS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.1N 77.1W
ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM ESE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 150 MI...245 KM SSE OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 85 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Julia was
located near latitude 32.1 North, longitude 77.1 West. Julia is
moving toward the east near 8 mph (13 km/h).  A decrease in forward
speed is expected tonight, followed by a slow and erratic motion
offshore of the coasts of South Carolina and North Carolina.

Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft
indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Little change in strength is forecast tonight.
After that, Julia is forecast to weaken as it encounters
unfavorable upper-level winds.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
to the northeast of the center.

The minimum central pressure reported by the Hurricane Hunter is
1007 mb (29.74 inches).

storm free

There is strong wind shear that will develop over the next few days which will weaken Julia. In the meantime Tropical Storm Ian is moving away to the northeast. Tropical Depression 12 meanwhile is holding its own in the far eastern Atlantic.

...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN, BUT NOT FOR A FEW DAYS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.8N 31.4W
ABOUT 505 MI...810 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 2000 MI...3220 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Twelve
was located near latitude 17.8 North, longitude 31.4 West. The
depression is moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h), and a
motion toward the west or west-southwest is expected during the
next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours,
with some strengthening expected by late in the weekend.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

Longer term the European Model suggests that Tropical Depression 12 will strengthen and move westward. The first of many questions is whether it will beyond 60 degrees west longitude. JOESTRADAMUS addresses this issue on his latest post.

 

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