TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION POSSIBLE NEXT 5 DAYS
The National Hurricane Center has begun issuing tropical disturbance statements regarding the area of disturbed weather developing in the Southwest Atlantic East of the Bahamas. Weather models for days have been showing this and conditions are going to be somewhat favorable for some development through the holiday weekend.
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION
POSSIBLE SATELLITE LOOP
The satellite loop this morning shows disorganized weather east northeast of the Bahamas as part of an old front that is falling apart. What will be left will be an area of showers and thunderstorms and weak low pressure is forecast to develop and move westward. As we pointed out yesterday in our story about an early start to hurricane season, water temperatures right now are borderline. There will be a light wind shear environment developing over time which is a plus for organization.
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION POSSIBLE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 5 DAY OUTLOOK
Water temperatures are not only borderline but they are actually now cooler than normal in the Southwest Atlantic for the first time in ages.
We will monitor this of course and given the time of year, conditions have to really line up for tropical storm formation. It is not impossible but the atmosphere will have a lot of work to do.
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