We are continuing to experience noreaster conditions here for tonight and Saturday. THIS IS NOT PART OF THE HURRICANE BUT A SEPARATE FEATURE. This would be happening regarless of the hurricane so I want to make clear that anyone saying that Joaquin is causing this (the Onion of Weather for example a.k.a. The Weather Channel) is absolutely incorrect and deceptive.
Winds will continue to run 25 to 40 knots with higher gusts into Sunday and up to 50 knots or more along the Southern New Jersey coast. Rainfall has been the one big upside here as the rain has been spread out over 36 hours and this will be a nice soaking of an inch or so of rain for most areas. Saturday the rains should taper off and end from north to south however the winds and coastal flooding continue into Sunday. Sunday may well turn partly sunny in most areas as dry air works its way down from the north. The weather for much of next week looks pretty good with no worse than partly sunny skies. Temperatures tonight and Saturday will be in the raw upper 40s to mid 50s at best. We should warm back into the 60s Sunday and upper 60s and lower 70s for much of next week.
The issue of Joaquin is settled as the European model which led the way with the out to sea solution is going to be spot on correct as all the major and even the non major models are taking the hurricane out to sea. The closest Joaquim will be to us will be sometime late Monday and Monday night as it passes about 300 to 400 miles to the east.
Here are the 2 global models and their maps for Monday. The hurricane will continue to rough up the ocean in a big way through Tuesday of next week adding to the coastal flooding and beach erosion woes of New Jersey and Long Island.
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