irma

Irma Strengthens Winds 140 MPH Category 4

Irma Strengthens Winds 140 MPH Category 4

storm free

Irma Strengthens Winds 140 MPH Category 4

…DANGEROUS HURRICANE IRMA HEADING TOWARD THE LEEWARD ISLANDS…
…PREPARATIONS WITHIN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION…

 

SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST…0000 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…16.7N 55.0W
ABOUT 450 MI…725 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…140 MPH…220 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 MPH…20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…943 MB…27.85 INCHES

 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…
* Antigua, Barbuda, Anguilla, Montserrat, St. Kitts, and Nevis
* Saba, St. Eustatius, and Sint Maarten
* Saint Martin and Saint Barthelemy

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…
* Guadeloupe
* British Virgin Islands
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* Puerto Rico, Vieques, and Culebra

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Guadeloupe

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* Dominica

storm free

There are two other systems in the tropics worth noting. Southeast of Irma is a strong tropical wave moving westward. Satellite pictures show this system continues to become better organized and a tropical depression or tropical storm could form over the next several days as it moves to the west.

Low pressure in the Southwest Gulf of Mexico has developed and showers and thunderstorms have been increasing. Conditions here are marginally conducive for development over the next several days.

storm free

There were no important changes in the afternoon run of the GFS. The model shows the hurricane tracking through the Bahamas and near the north coast of Cuba before turning northward into South Florida.

irma

The above graphic is the GFS ensemble members and their solutions. The black line is the average track. The cluster is very tight. Risk grows for Florida as the first landfall. The late day gfs might be a little too far to the left but the bottom line is that the threat is increasing for both the Bahamas and Florida.

EARLIER TODAY JOESTRADAMUS DISCUSSED THE WEATHER MODELS ON IRMA AND ASSESSES THE RISK FOR THE EAST COAST

MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE WONDERFUL USE OF THE MAPS

 

 

                                                          GET JOE A CIGAR IF YOU LIKE

 

 

Weather App

storm free

Don’t be without Meteorologist Joe Cioffi’s weather app. It is really a meteorologist app because you get my forecasts and my analysis and not some automated computer generated forecast based on the GFS model. This is why your app forecast changes every 6 hours. It is model driven with no human input at all. It gives you an icon, a temperature and no insight whatsoever.

It is a complete weather app to suit your forecast needs. All the weather information you need is right on your phone. Android or I-phone, use it to keep track of all the latest weather information and forecasts. This weather app is also free of advertising so you don’t have to worry about security issues with your device. An accurate forecast and no worries that your device is being compromised.

Use it in conjunction with my website and my facebook and twitter and you have complete weather coverage of all the latest weather and the long range outlook. The website has been redone and upgraded. Its easy to use and everything is archived so you can see how well Joe does or doesn’t do when it comes to forecasts and outlooks.

Just click on the google play button or the apple store button on the sidebar for my app which is on My Weather Concierge. Download the app for free. Subscribe to my forecasts on an ad free environment for just 99 cents a month.
Get my forecasts in the palm of your hand for less than the cost of a cup of Joe!

SHOP THE JOESTRADAMUS STORE

 
Liked it? Take a second to support joestradamus on Patreon!