Hurricane Season Begins Seasons Third Tropical Storm Possible Later This Week
Hurricane season has begun officially though unofficially it began 2 weeks ago and we have already seen 2 named storms. If we get a tropical storm before Friday it will have been the earliest we would get to the third storm on record surpassing 2016. We do have disturbed weather in the Gulf of Mexico specifically in the Southwest Gulf of Mexico. This is the remnant of Tropical Storm Amanda in the Pacific that formed Saturday and quickly moved inland over Central America.
Conditions are favorable for development once the remnant low moves back out over the open waters (assuming it does) Upper air winds in the Southwest Gulf are light which is conducive for development and the National Hurricane Center has raised the probability of development to 80 percent.
Pressures will remain low across much of the area from the Southwest Gulf to the Caribbean. This system is embedded in a large gyre of low pressure. This could pin this system in the Southwest Gulf and move it back inland into Mexico however another impulse will likely emerge later this week in the Northwest Caribbean or over the Yucatan and then move out into the Gulf of Mexico late this week or this coming weekend.
Higher pressures will be building across the Gulf States late this week which would favor a northward course this late week system and then a turn more northwestward over time if the ridge to the north is strong enough. Again this system will be an environment favorable for development and we will be watching this carefully all week.
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Please note that with regards to any severe weather, tropical storms, or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.