Hot Humid Monday Through Wednesday Cold Front Cooler Late Week

90 DEGREE PLUS HIGHS MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

COLD FRONT ARRIVES LATE WEDNESDAY WITH SHOWERS

COOLER LATE WEEK, LABOR DAY WEEKEND QUESTIONS ARISE

As we head into the second to last summer vacation weekend I thought it might be a good idea to look ahead to next week. Summer seems to want to go out at least with one more burst of 90 degree plus heat and we will see that Monday through Wednesday next week with increased humidity but not much in the way of showers or thunderstorms.

Much of the month of August the upper ridge build just offshore and a trough would set up to our west. This of course led to unrelenting humidity and 3 rounds of unrelenting rain for the Middle Atlantic and the Northeast. This time around the upper high is further west which pushes the trough further west. Hot and humid it will be but downpour and thunderstorm activity will be minimal until a cold front approaches late next Wednesday. 3 days of 90 plus should do it before that front moves by and another high comes down from the north.

One of the trends this summer is that every time the weather models tried to show a big ridge in the East and a long lasting heatwave, something comes along in the northern part of the jet stream to cut it off after a couple of days. This appears to be the case once again with the ridge for next week. The bigger issue is after the front passes Wednesday night it will stall to our south and we will probably see it come back as a warm front at some point Labor Day Weekend. This would put us at risk for showers at some point of the holiday weekend but it is way to early to be specific. Also expect the tropics to wake up as we near month end as the pattern across the Atlantic appears to be changing and becoming more favorable for tropical storm development in the Tropical Atlantic. I suspect we will see a few systems develop as we move into September.