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Heat Advisory Severe Weather Threat
Heat Advisory Severe Weather Threat
The two things going on today are the heat (and humidity which has prompted Heat Advisories From New York City and Northern New Jersey (except the northwest) southward with Excessive Heat Warning for Southwest New Jersey and Southeastern Pennsylvania.
The other issue is later this afternoon and evening with an approaching cold front. This has prompted the Storm Prediction Center to increase the risk of severe weather to slight risk for Northeastern Pennsylvania northeastward through Upstate New York and most of Western New England. This includes the Hudson Valley and Northwest New Jersey. A marginal risk of severe weather extends to the coast and the rest of New Jersey southward.
Heat Advisory Severe Weather Threat Storm Prediction Center Forecast
Heat Advisory Severe Weather Threat Latest Radar Loops
Heat Advisory Severe Weather Threat
Outlook For This Afternoon & Evening
Two model views for this afternoon. Each is different in terms of magnitude and speed. The slower NAM model below has stronger thunderstorm activity as you go northward and it is also slower.
NAM MODEL 6PM THURSDAY
HRRR MODEL 2PM THURSDAY
The HRRR model has a longer stronger line further south and it is faster than the NAM model This would bring a severe weather threat for mid to late afternoon. So far there isn’t any clue on the regional radar with regards to which model is going to be right. So we will wait until we see some radar development and figure out which model has the better handle on things. The NAM has outperformed the HRRR model which has been very volatile lately in the short range.
Meanwhile with regards to the heat, temperatures will reach the 90s in the advisory area with high humidity so stay cool and avoid running marathons in the middle of the day.
FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Long Island
FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For New Jersey
FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Hudson Valley
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SNOW FORECASTS
LATEST JOESTRADAMUS ON THE LONG RANGE
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