Winter Weather in Upstate NY New England
Rain Most Everywhere Else in the Northeast
There is some winter weather around in the Northeast but you need to get into your car to see it if you are in Eastern Pennsylvania to Southern New England. Winter Weather Advisories are up from Ulster and Columbia Counties northward and east across Northwest Connecticut. Also they’re up for Massachusetts and Vermont and then we get to the Winter Storm Warnings for parts of New Hampshire and Maine.
This is not going to be a big storm at all but in a season where snow is lacking even in ski country, it is welcomed. Most amounts on the southern flank will be in the 1 to 4 inch rain and there will be some icing in parts of Northwest Connecticut, the middle and upper Hudson Valley and parts of Western Massachusetts. Most of the snow comes late tonight with rain changing to snow and again during the day tomorrow with the upper trough going by.
For everyone in Eastern Pennsylvania to Southern New England we see rain and it is advancing slowly on the radar from the Southwest. It cuts off around the Washington DC/Baltimore area. This will spread eastward today across NYC the Hudson Valley and Long Island and through Southern New England this afternoon.
Most of the area from Eastern Pennsylvania to Southern New England will see the rain end from west to east between 8pm and midnight. There might be one more shower overnight and then it will be done. Well to the north as colder air comes in rain changes to snow across Northern Massachusetts as well as Southern Vermont, New Hampshire and Maine.
It is going to be a raw day with temperatures in the 40s and some areas north of NYC will probably be in the upper 30s to around 40 which means it is a gloom and doom miserable day just about everywhere. As for Friday in general we will see improving weather conditions with decreasing clouds and some developing sunshine with highs in the middle to upper 40s.
There isn’t much in the way of cold air in the Northeast and Mid Atlantic and the system today doesn’t do much to change that. Saturday will be the better of the two weekend days with sunshine. Highs Saturday will be in the low to mid 40s in most places.
Sunday brings the next storm system that will be coming out of the Gulf of Mexico and heading up the East Coast. Weather models have tracks ranging from the GFS which is further west and inland with rain developing during the day Sunday afternoon and ending Monday morning. Areas from Northeast Pennsylvania to the Catskills to Interior New England could see some snow from this.
The ICON/European models are a little colder and might argue for rain that changes to snow a little further Southeast into the Hudson Valley, Northern New Jersey and maybe to NYC. Right now we think that this is going to wind up being mostly rain which develops Sunday afternoon and lasts into Monday morning with a chance we could see a change to snow as the storm begins to pull away to the northeast Sunday night. We will digest the dayside models later today to see if there are any significant changes but I’m not expecting much to change here. Next week brings a third storm system with rain for the middle of the week and here too models seem to vascilate back and forth from showing an inland low to a coastal low so we will ride the model waves. Given the pattern it is hard to see how this storm will be any different than the other storms in this sequence and that means another system that produce mostly rain, but we will keep an open mind on this.
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS & F5 WEATHER FOR THE USE OF MAPS
Please note that with regards to any severe weather, tropical storms, or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.