Winter Weather Advisories Inland Coastal Flood Wind Advisories Coast
We have Winter Weather Advisories up for Northwest New Jersey, the Hudson Valley and much of Conneticut and Northeast Pennsylvania and Winter Storm Warnings for the Catskills, however I think the bigger deal here is probably along the coast where we are seeing Wind Advisories up for winds that will be gusting 40 to 50 mph tonight. The wind advisory covers Long Island and the coast of Southern and Southeastern New England. We also have Coastal Flood Advisories from Coastal North Jersey east across New York Harbor, Long Island, Southern Connecticut to Southeastern New England. Also we will see heavy rain this evening and tonight and rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches along with some thunderstorms in the mix.
Yesterday it appeared to me that the snow part of this storm was going to underwhelm and I continue to believe that the forecast amounts you see on the snow forecast map are probably more like worst case scenarions rather than reasonable snowfall forecasts. There just isn’t quaility cold air around to support a larger snowfall so I am looking for actual snow totals to come in underneath these forecast numbers. For much of the area from Eastern Pennsylvania I think a coating to a few inches covers it.
Precipitation will overspread the area today with snow and sleet. A quick change to rain will occur at the coast and take a little longer inland. Ultimately we will see a change to rain all the way up the Hudson Valley and the Catskills. Temperatures today will be in the 40s and then rise into the 40s late today and tonight.
Heavy rain and thunderstorms this evening into tonight will bring 1 to 2 inches of rain area wide with highest amounts over Southern and Southeastern New England. Winds will gust to 40 to 50 mph tonight. The storm tracks to Lake Erie and we don’t have much of a secondary developing here.
The storm races along and as models show the rains end from west to east during the early morning hours leading into daybreak. Thursday we will see leftover clouds give way to some sunshine with highs in the 40s. Friday will be colder and dry with some sunshine with highs mostly in the 30s. As far as the weekend is concerned, Saturday will be dry and we will then throw in the chance for clouds and showers coming later Sunday.
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