Everything seems to be on cruise control this morning as far as the next several days and the weekend weather forecast is concerned. We have a weak trough moving through today which will do nothing except shift winds around to the north northwest and bring down even drier air so before too long skies should go partly to mostly sunny with temperatures in the 70s. Thursday looks nice and sunny but it will be 5 to 8 degrees cooler with highs in the mid 60s to near 70. Then comes the change with a cold front approaching on Friday. That looks to bring showers here with the best chances from afternoon into Friday night from west to east and then tapering off and ending during the early morning hours on Saturday (before daybreak) from east to west.
The front is beginning to look a lot weaker with not a whole lot of shower activity with it but we weren’t exactly bouncing up and down with the idea that we would get a lot from this anyway. So the weekend to me looks good though it will be cool on Saturday and warmer Sunday into Monday with highs by Monday back into the 70s.
Jumping to the European model this morning we see trouble for North and South Carolina again as the bottom of the trough separates and a low forms off the southeast coast and sits there for 2 days or so. This could mean some additional rains for them that normally wouldn.t mean much but after you had 2 feet of rain..even another inch could be problematic. This would be for Sunday into Monday.
That system is going to get kicked away to the northeast as the next cold front arrives here for later Tuesday into Tuesday night. Behind it could be a pretty strong shot of colder air for this time of year. The gfs model is much more robust with the quality of the colder air. Both models have the same idea with regards to the upper flow strengthening from Central Canada in the long range but the European is a little less intense with the look and therefore a little less cold.
While the pattern appears to be changing to one where we see fronts every few days there are no indications of any big storms on the horizon.
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