snow ice

Snow Ice Possibility Friday 12222017

Snow Ice Possibility Friday 12222017

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Snow Ice Possibility Friday 12222017

I have often observed that in winters where it snows a lot, it seems to find away to do it even in situations that don’t often show up obvious. We had that happen last Friday and we may see it happen for parts of the area this Friday.

GFS FRIDAY 1PM 12/22/2017

snow ice

What is happening is that the North Atlantic Oscillation is going negative briefly at the end of this week. This is allowing a strong high to build in Maine. A lead piece of moisture is going to be moving across the Great Lakes southeastward to our area as a warm front sets up to our south. Weather models have been trending south with this and temperatures are shown to be much colder Friday morning as many areas from Central New Jersey northward will be in the 20s to near 30 for lows and slow to rise on Friday.

GFS SNOW FORECAST FRIDAY 12/22/2017

snow ice

Right now this would seem be an issue for New Jersey & Eastern Pennsylvania north of Route 80 and in the Hudson Valley north of 287 and in Connecticut north of Route 15. The European is actually a little bit colder and a bit further south with measurable snow and ice. We will wait until this evening to put out a snow ice forecast should late day models continue the colder southward trend. Regardless of what happens we will see the warm front go by overnight Friday and early Saturday with rain coming Saturday and highs in the 50S. The European model has also shifted east and lines up with the GFS on the idea of a White Christmas for us. We will also talk more about that later today.

MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE WONDERFUL USE OF THE MAPS

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