Rain Arrives Today Winter Weather Advisories North
Change to Sleet Snow Possible Monday
The first of two storms heads our way and we will see mostly rain from this. Northwest, north & northeast, Winter Weather Advisories are in effect. Winter Storm Warnings for parts of the Catskills as well as for Central and Northern New England. Everywhere else we are looking at plain rain though there might be some snow or sleet mixed in at the start. It should quickly go over to rain however.
We could see a caoting to an inch in Northwest New Jersey, Orange County to Northern Connecticut north of Route 84 with amounts rising in the Catskills and the Middle and Upper Hudson Valley. Rain arrives during the afternoon from south to north with some snow and sleet on the front end. We can see the beginnings of the clouds and precipitation on the satellite loop and radar loop below.
We will have rain tonight into Monday morning. Low pressure heads up the coast from South Carolina this evening to just east of Cape Cod Monday morning. At least initially there is very little in the way of cold air but the low stretches back to the southwest as an upper trough swings across the Northeast. This will likely cause rain to change to mix or change to snow Monday morning even down at the coast.
Though there could be a change to sleet or snow before ending, the lack of cold air will likely prevent any minor accumulations except for colder grassy surfaces. Temperatures today will be in the 30s north and into the 40s South. A raw chilly rain will occur overnight. Once precipitation ends Monday we will have leftover clouds with temperatures in the 30s. We will dry out Monday night. Tuesday should be a nice day of sunshine with highs in the 40s.
Wednesday brings the next storm system. This time around there may be enough cold air around that precipitation will likely start off as snow and I think it may be cold enough even at the coast for a coating to a few inches of accumulation. Low pressure takes a track to Ohio and will redevelop right overhead of just along the New Jersey coast Wednesday night.
Snow develops Wednesday morning in Pennsylvania south to Maryland and Northern Delaware and then spreads northeastward through the morning and into the afternoon followed by the inevitable change to rain in the afternoon and evening from coast to inland areas. The change to rain will likely reach as far north as I-90 in NY and in Massachusetts. Rain will be heavy at times into Wednesday night but should be mostly done by Thursday morning. The remainder of the week will be dry and colder.
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