heavy downpours

Heavy Downpours Later Today

Heavy Downpours Later Today

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Heavy Downpours Later Today

At least over the next several days with heavy downpours around we will be chipping away at the rainfall deficit. Through this morning and into this afternoon we should be okay with sunshine and some developing clouds. The Storm Prediction Center keeps us out of the risk of severe weather. The most important thing here is that these cells could be solid rain producers. It all depends on how the radar sets up. There is the potential for flash flooding from some of these heavy downpours if they sit over one spot long enough.

storm free

storm free

The upper air disturbance on the satellite loop is beginning to swing eastward and you can see the radar activity increasing to the west. Look for downpours to develop across Eastern Pennsylvania and Western New Jersey this afternoon and then swinging to the coast late in the afternoon and evening.

storm free

storm free
storm free

storm free

Heavy Downpours HRRR Model Forecast

With this type of set up, trying to see who gets what is going to be a guess. The HRRR model through 11pm ventures its best guess and has the heaviest rains in Northwest New Jersey.

heavy downpours

There is more to come on Sunday as the upper air disturbance to the west slowly moves east so we will probably do it the same way again  with areas of downpours developing as the day wears on. Temperatures today will reach the 80s but Sunday with more clouds we are likely to be in the 70s to near 80. I left the threat for a few downpours in the forecast for Monday and Tuesday though they should become much more scattered in nature. 

 

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